Egentlig er det fullstendig uforståelig at et så stort passasjerfly som MH370 fullstendig kan forsvinne. Vil vi noen gang få et ærlig svar på hva som skjedde? Kan flyet ha landet på en liten øy i Indiahavet?
Vi kommer aldri til å få noe offisielt svar på hva som skjedde. Det såkalte søket utenfor Perth i Australia er jo fullstendig meningsløst, det er ingen indikasjoner på at flyet har havnet der, bare påstander.
Slik jeg ser det, og dette er selvsagt rene spekulasjoner, er det et par hypoteser som ihvertfall teknisk sett ikke er fullstendig latterlige. Men vi har ikke noe annet enn rykter og synsing å gå på, så ta dette som ren spekulasjon.
Null-hypoteser (etter min mening latterlig usannsynlige, gitt omstendighetene):
- ulykke m/ Teknisk årsak, flyet styrtet i havet mellom Malaysia og Vietnam
- Flykapring av besetning eller passasjer, med landing på hemmelig sted
- Flykapring av besetning eller passasjer, etterfulgt av styrt i nærheten
- Flykapring eller ulykke, etterfulgt av 7 timer på autopilot i motsatt kurs av opprinnelige, etterfulgt av styrt i et av verdens dypeste og mest utilgjengelige havområder
Følgende er etter mitt syn mer troverdig, gitt omstendighetene:
Hypotese 1: Cyber hijackFlyet ble overtatt elektronisk av noen med motiv og teknisk kompetanse, samt mulighet for å skjule flyet. Med andre ord fjernkontrollert fra et annet fly. Lyder vanvittig? Hørt om
'Boeing Uninterruptible Auto Pilot'?
New autopilot will make another 9/11 impossible
Published: 03 March 2007
A hijack-proof piloting system for airliners is being developed to prevent terrorists repeating the 9/11 outrages.
The mechanism is designed to make it impossible to crash the aircraft into air or land targets - and enable the plane to be flown by remote control from the ground in the event of an emergency.
Scientists at aircraft giant Boeing are testing the tamper-proof autopilot system which uses state-of-the-art computer and satellite technology.
It will be activated by the pilot flicking a simple switch or by pressure sensors fitted to the cockpit door that will respond to any excessive force as terrorists try to break into the flight deck.
Once triggered, no one on board will be able to deactivate the system. Currently, all autopilots are manually switched on and off at the discretion of pilots.
The so-called 'uninterruptible autopilot system' - patented secretly by Boeing in the US last week - will connect ground controllers and security services with the aircraft using radio waves and global satellite positioning systems.
After it has been activated, the aircraft will be capable of remote digital control from the ground, enabling operators to fly it like a sophisticated model plane, manoeuvring it vertically and laterally.
A threatened airliner could be flown to a secure military base or a commercial airport, where it would touch down using existing landing aids known as 'autoland function'.
After it had landed, the aircraft's built-in autobrake would bring the plane safely to a halt on the runway.
Boeing insiders say the new anti-hijack kit could be fitted to airliners all over the world, including those in the UK, within the next three years.
The latest move to combat airline terrorists follows The Mail on Sunday's disclosure three weeks ago that scientists in Britain and Germany are developing a passenger-monitoring device.
This will use tiny cameras linked to specialist computers to record every twitch, blink, facial expression or suspicious movement made on board flights in order to identify potential terrorists.
A Boeing spokesman said : "We are constantly studying ways we can enhance the safety, security and efficiency of the world's airline fleet.
"There is a need in the industry for a technique that conclusively prevents unauthorised persons gaining access to the controls and threatening the safety of passengers.
"Once this system is initiated, no one on board is capable of controlling the flight, making it useless for anyone to threaten violence in order to gain control."
Dersom dette skulle medføre riktighet, er Diego Garcia antagelig det eneste mulig landingsstedet som er innen rekkevidde, som ikke krever overflyvning av andre land enn Malaysia/Thailand. De påståtte miliære radarobservasjonene fra malaysia etter at kontakten ble brutt, er kompatibel med en kurs mot Diego Garcia.
Jeg utelater diskusjon om eventuelt motiv, og fokuserer på det teknisk og fysisk mulige i relasjon til det vi vet om observasjoner og manglende observasjoner.
Hypotese 2: Nedskyting med Directed Energy Weapon[attachimg=1 width=480]
Se video ved å følge linken til The Telegraph under
US Navy laser cannon shoots down drone in latest test
The US Navy says it is preparing to roll out a sea-based laser weapon capable of disabling small enemy vessels and shooting down surveillance drones in what is being hailed as a potential "game-changer".
7:35AM BST 09 Apr 2013
The laser system will be deployed in 2014, two years ahead of schedule, aboard the USS Ponce, an amphibious transport ship retrofitted as a waterborne staging base, the Navy said Monday.
Chief of Naval Research Admiral Matthew Klunder said the cost of one blast of "directed energy" could be less than $1.
"Compare that to the hundreds of thousands of dollars it costs to fire a missile, and you can begin to see the merits of this capability," he said in a US Navy statement.
The Office of Naval Research (ONR) and Naval Sea Systems Command successfully tested high-energy lasers against a moving target ship and a remotely piloted drone.
"The future is here," ONR official Peter Morrision said.
