4470.txt, Inger Hanssen-Bauer

[Jostemikk]

Her er linken.

Hanssen-Bauer skrev denne e-posten til Hans von Storch i 1999. Hun forteller at hele oppvarmingen nå kan forklares ved forandringer i det atmosfæriske sirkulasjonsmønsteret, men at oppvarmingen før 1940 ikke kan forklares på samme måte:

date: Mon, 20 Sep 1999 16:36:32 +020
from: Inger Hanssen-Bauer <@dnmi.no>
subject: contribution TAR
to: Hans von Storch <@gkss.de>

Dear Hans,

Please find, at the end of this mail, a possible contribution to chapter
10.6 in TAR. Our main messages are:

1) When developing empirical downscaling models, it is essential to use long
training periods.

2) The early twentieth century warming and the warming during the last 3
decades seem to be quite different with many respects. In Norway and
Spitsbergen, it is possible to explain most of the warming after the 1960s
by changes in the atmospheric circulation. The warming prior to 1940 cannot
be explained in this way.

We give 2 references. The second of these is presently published as an
“institute report” only (we will send you a copy if you want one), however
we are presently preparing a “journal version” of this work.

We send a copy of our suggested contribution also to Giorgi.

Best regards
Inger and Eirik

Er dette noe Hanssen-Bauer har gitt uttrykk for til norsk presse de siste årene? Eller hennes kolleger, som også må vite om årsaken til oppvarmingen på slutten av forrige århundre?